NATO agrees 10-year plan to prepare for invasion that could happen sooner
Was this the worst NATO Summit ever? “Well, at least it wasn’t a disaster,” a friend said when we discussed the matter.
The Art of Lukashenko's Deal in Belarus
Let’s not forget that for Lukashenko, political prisoners are just hostages or bargaining chips.
We are shocked again that Putin is asking for the same thing again
The only viable strategy toward Russia is one of deterrence and defense—not appeasement based on obsolete agreements.
The security guarantees Europe needs are being made in Ukraine
The obliteration of Russian strategic bombers left us stunned — and rightly so. Here are five key lessons.
The Future of the Council of the Baltic Sea States
I recently had the honour of being tasked with preparing a report on the future of the CBSS, co-authored with President Toomas Hendrik Ilves.
The Coalition of the Willing to do What?
Eleven weeks ago a“coalition of the willing” gathered together to discuss what they were willing to do. Since then they haven’t appeared willing to do anything at all.
JD Vance's rethink reveals two US vulnerabilities in Europe
The tone has altered. JD Vance now considers Europe and the US to be important partners. So what exactly changed, and why?
Putin can see he is still on the path to victory
Let’s consider how Putin likely perceives the current situation—and how he intends to shape the geopolitical landscape.
Trump's Dead Cat Deal
Nobody should be surprised if the US dumps a dead cat deal at Europe’s door. Trump might simply tell Europe to “take it or leave it”.
So who’s guaranteeing Europe’s security now?
As time goes by it looks like Ukrainians are the ones ensuring Europe’s survival, even if we aren’t ensuring theirs.